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MLB Projected Standings, Week 10

I am more interested in the future at the moment with the MLB draft unfolding, but after a week hiatus it is more than time for a projected standings update. Will an extra week mean extra changes?

You can read about the model here, or keep on reading for the updated standings (change in win total from last week in parentheses).

MLB Projected Standings, Week 10:

AL WestAL CentralAL East
Rangers, 86-76 (+4) 0 GBIndians, 89-73 (0), 0 GBRed Sox, 89-73 (-2), 0 GB
Mariners, 85-77 (-2) 1 GBTigers, 83-79 (+2), 6 GB     Orioles, 87-75 (+3), 2 GB
Astros, 83-79 (+2), 3 GBWhite Sox, 81-81 (-4), 8 GBBlue Jays, 84-78 (+2), 5 GB
Angels, 74-88 (-1), 12 GBRoyals, 78-84 (0), 11 GBYankees, 83-79 (+1), 6 GB
Athletics, 73-89 (+1), 13 GB     Twins, 66-96 (+1), 23 GBRays, 78-84 (-1), 11 GB
.
NL WestNL CentralNL East
Giants, 93-69 (0), 0 GBCubs, 105-57 (+2), 0 GBNationals, 95-67 (+1), 0 GB
Dodgers, 93-69 (-1), 0 GBCardinals, 87-75 (+2), 18 GBMets, 94-68 (-2), 1 GB
Rockies, 74-88 (0), 19 GB     Pirates, 87-75 (-3), 18 GBMarlins, 82-80 (0), 13 GB
Diamondbacks, 72-90 (-1), 21 GB    Brewers, 72-90 (+1), 33 GBPhillies, 70-92 (-3), 25 GB
Padres, 69-93 (0), 24 GBReds, 65-97 (+1), 40 GBBraves, 56-106 (-1), 39 GB

Wild card play-in games: Mariners at Orioles, Dodgers at Mets
ALDS match-ups: play-in vs. Red Sox, Rangers vs. Indians
NLDS match-ups: play-in vs. Cubs, Giants vs. Nationals

Some musings:
  • The American League is bunching up a bit again. Team entropy beams with pride.
  • Don't sleep on the Astros. They are starting to play like many thought they would at the start of the season and the AL West is quite mediocre.
  • When will the Dodgers play up to their potential? This projection system is staying very optimistic about them, but we are 60 games in and they are not looking like a 90-win team.
  • It feels like the National League playoff teams are already set, though some jostling between division winners and wild-card teams will take place. That's assuming the Dodgers start playing up to their talent level at some point.
  • Meanwhile, 10 of 15 American League teams project within 5 games of a playoff spot.