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MLB Projected Standings, Week 11

The trade market should start heating up soon. Who should buy? Who should sell? Who has a tough call to make?

You can read about the model here, or keep on reading for the updated standings (change in win total from last week in parentheses).

MLB Projected Standings, Week 11:

AL WestAL CentralAL East
Rangers, 88-74 (+2) 0 GBIndians, 88-74 (-1), 0 GBRed Sox, 89-73 (0), 0 GB
Mariners, 83-79 (-2) 5 GBTigers, 83-79 (0), 5 GB     Blue Jays, 87-75 (+3), 2 GB
Astros, 83-79 (0), 5 GBWhite Sox, 81-81 (0), 7 GBOrioles, 86-76 (-1), 3 GB
Angels, 75-87 (+1), 13 GBRoyals, 80-82 (+2), 8 GBYankees, 82-80 (-1), 7 GB
Athletics, 71-91 (-2), 17 GB     Twins, 63-99 (-3), 25 GBRays, 79-83 (+1), 10 GB
.
NL WestNL CentralNL East
Giants, 94-68 (+1), 0 GBCubs, 104-58 (-1), 0 GBNationals, 98-64 (+3), 0 GB
Dodgers, 91-71 (-2), 3 GBCardinals, 88-74 (+1), 16 GBMets, 93-69 (-1), 5 GB
Rockies, 76-86 (+2), 18 GB     Pirates, 84-78 (-3), 20 GBMarlins, 82-80 (0), 16 GB
Diamondbacks, 72-90 (0), 22 GB    Brewers, 74-88 (+2), 30 GBPhillies, 68-94 (-2), 30 GB
Padres, 68-94 (-1), 26 GBReds, 65-97 (0), 39 GBBraves, 57-105 (+1), 41 GB

Wild card play-in games: Orioles at Blue Jays, Dodgers at Mets
ALDS match-ups: play-in vs. Red Sox, Rangers vs. Indians
NLDS match-ups: play-in vs. Cubs, Giants vs. Nationals

Some musings:
  • The Pirates have lost 3 games on their projected record in back to back weeks. They are on a serious slide that will knock them out of contention if they do not pull out of it very soon. They might already be out of contention with the way this week went.
  • The Mariners have also sunk in consecutive weaks, but thanks to they hyper-mediocre AL wild card race remain in the hunt. My model might be overestimating their plunge too, given that they are going through the best the AL has to offer on their longest road trip of the year. This would be a logical low point for the team.
  • The model might finally be giving up on the Dodgers to some degree. They continue to be MLB's most exorbitantly expensive kinda good team.
  • The spread between the projected AL playoff teams is a measly 3 games. The parity in the league remains remarkable, for better or worse.